Lakes sensitivity to climate change and nutrients availability: a coupled hydrodynamic ecological modelling study (#231)
Changes in temperature and nutrients are
considered the most important factors controlling phytoplankton composition and
cyanobacterial abundance in freshwater lakes, although their relative
importance and their interaction are still unclear. In this study we applied a
recently developed open source 1D model GLM-FABM to two lakes (Mt Bold
reservoir, AU; Lake Tarawera, NZ) with different trophic state. After calibration and validation a matrix of
25 scenarios, combining temperature and nutrient changes during a period of two
years was simulated. It was analysed how changes in physical and chemical
variables affected phytoplankton abundance and composition. Additionally
relative importance of temperature and nutrient and their interaction was
evaluated. Modelling experiments showed that seasonal variability and trophic
states affect the relative importance of these two factors. Moreover, the competition
between algal groups (e.g. Chlorophytes and Cyanobacteria) was identified as a
significant factor controlling the development of the phytoplankton community
and its response to the external drivers.