Modelling recruitment dynamics of carp under different flow scenarios — ASN Events

Modelling recruitment dynamics of carp under different flow scenarios (#98)

Charles Todd 1 , John Koehn 1 , Anthony Conallin 2 , Ivor Stuart 3 , Leigh Thwaites 4 , Qifeng Ye 4 , Brenton Zampatti 4 , Paul Brown 5 , Dean Gilligan 6
  1. Arthur Rylah Institute, Department of Environment and Primary Industry, Heidelberg, VIC, Australia
  2. Murray Local Land Services, Albury, NSW
  3. Kingfisher Research, Greensborough, Vic
  4. South Australian Research and Development Institute, West Beach, SA
  5. Murray-Darling Freshwater Research Centre, Mildura, Vic
  6. NSW Department of Primary Industry, Fisheries, Narrandera, NSW

A model of carp life history has been developed to examine, in particular, the recruitment dynamics of carp under different flow regimes.  The underlying construct is a 30 age class model with estimates for survival and fecundity for each age class.  A number of different spawning habitat types were identified and these habitat types were specified within the model framework.  Spawning, larvae and young of the year output from each habitat defined under different flow regimes provided the expected dynamics of carp recruitment.  Regional differences have allowed the model to target specific wetlands/reaches in the Murray River.  Given a suite of different flow regimes expected, carp dynamics are produced to provide insights to managers on how best to manage flow to minimise carp recruitment.

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